Accurate predictions are essential in many areas such as corporate decision making, weather forecasting and technology forecasting. Prediction markets help to a

How does one effectively aggregate disparate pieces of information that are spread among many different individuals? In other words, how does one best access th

Predicting the future is serious business for virtually all public and private institutions, for they must often make important decisions based upon such predic

Why Prediction Markets Are Good for Business From selecting the lead actress in a Broadway musical, to predicting a crucial delay in the delivery of Boeing’s

I started my career on Wall Street in 1978. For the past 40 years on the Street, I have been thinking and writing about the economy and financial markets as bot