Determinants of the Size of the Sovereign Credit Default Swap Market
Author | : Tobias Berg |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 36 |
Release | : 2015 |
ISBN-10 | : OCLC:1308417644 |
ISBN-13 | : |
Rating | : 4/5 ( Downloads) |
Download or read book Determinants of the Size of the Sovereign Credit Default Swap Market written by Tobias Berg and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We analyze the sovereign CDS market for 57 countries, using a novel dataset comprising weekly positions and turnover data. We document that CDS markets - measured relative to a country's debt - are larger for smaller countries, countries with a rating just above the investment-grade cutoff, and countries with weaker creditor rights. Analyzing changes in credit risk, we find that rating changes matter but only for negative rating events (downgrades and negative outlooks). In particular, weeks with downgrades and negative outlooks are associated with a significantly higher turnover in the sovereign CDS market - even after controlling for changes in sovereign CDS spreads. We conclude that agencies' ratings are a major determinant of the size of the sovereign credit default swap market.