Revisiting the Dynamic Relationship Between Macroeconomic Fundamentals and Stock Prices

Revisiting the Dynamic Relationship Between Macroeconomic Fundamentals and Stock Prices
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Total Pages : 11
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ISBN-10 : OCLC:1305506838
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Book Synopsis Revisiting the Dynamic Relationship Between Macroeconomic Fundamentals and Stock Prices by : Deepa Mangala

Download or read book Revisiting the Dynamic Relationship Between Macroeconomic Fundamentals and Stock Prices written by Deepa Mangala and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 11 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The relationship between stock prices and macroeconomic variables varies across countries, time periods, datasets used, and the frequency of data used. Thus, an in-depth study to reinvestigate the relationship between selected macroeconomic variables i.e. inflation rate, exchange rate, index of industrial production, gold price, money supply and yields on treasury bills, and Indian stock market for the period of April 2005 to March 2014 has been carried out. In this study Johansen's cointegration test, vector error correction model (VECM), impulse response functions (IRFs), and variance decomposition (VDCs) test have been applied. The results of Johansen cointegration test indicates a significant negative relationship between exchange rate, inflation rate, and index of industrial production with stock prices whereas there exists a significantly positive relationship of money supply and yield on treasury bills with stock prices. Vector error correction model helps to determine both short and long run causal relationship between macroeconomic variables and stock price. The results found short run causality runs from exchange rate to Nifty, Nifty to money supply, and inflation rate whereas long run causality found from Nifty to short term interest rate and money supply.

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