Measuring Default Risk Premia from Default Swap Rates and EDFs

Measuring Default Risk Premia from Default Swap Rates and EDFs
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Total Pages : 62
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ISBN-10 : IND:30000100671647
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Book Synopsis Measuring Default Risk Premia from Default Swap Rates and EDFs by : Antje Berndt

Download or read book Measuring Default Risk Premia from Default Swap Rates and EDFs written by Antje Berndt and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper estimates recent default risk premia for U.S. corporate debt, based on a close relationship between default probabilities, as estimated by Moody's KMV EDFs, and default swap (CDS) market rates. The default-swap data, obtained through CIBC from 22 banks and specialty dealers, allow us to establish a strong link between actual and risk-neutral default probabilities for the 69 firms in the three sectors that we analyze: broadcasting and entertainment, healthcare, and oil and gas. We find dramatic variation over time in risk premia, from peaks in the third quarter of 2002, dropping by roughly 50% to late 2003.

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