Particle Filters for Markov Switching Stochastic Volatility Models

Particle Filters for Markov Switching Stochastic Volatility Models
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Total Pages : 0
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ISBN-10 : OCLC:1376281218
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Book Synopsis Particle Filters for Markov Switching Stochastic Volatility Models by : Yun Bao

Download or read book Particle Filters for Markov Switching Stochastic Volatility Models written by Yun Bao and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper proposes an auxiliary particle filter algorithm for inference in regime switching stochastic volatility models in which the regime state is governed by a first-order Markov chain. We proposes an ongoing updated Dirichlet distribution to estimate the transition probabilities of the Markov chain in the auxiliary particle filter. A simulation-based algorithm is presented for the method which demonstrated that we are able to estimate a class of models in which the probability that the system state transits from one regime to a different regime is relatively high. The methodology is implemented to analyze a real time series: the foreign exchange rate of Australian dollars vs South Korean won.

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